Forecasting6 min read

For Markdown modeling, predict sell-through rate and not sales volume

Sales volume mixes demand and inventory effects. Sell-through rate captures what actually matters: how fast inventory clears under pricing and context constraints.

Cyril Noirot

March 17, 2026

Get notified of new articles

No spam. Technical articles on forecasting, pricing, and decision systems.

Enter your email

Continue reading

Forecasting

Probabilistic Forecasting in Travel Retail - Part 2: Gradient Boosting Quantile Regression

Deep dive into gradient boosting trees with quantile regression for robust uncertainty estimation in travel retail forecasting.

Sep 159 min

Forecasting

Probabilistic Forecasting in Travel Retail - Part 1: Foundations

How to build robust forecasting models that account for uncertainty, seasonality, and external shocks in the travel retail sector.

Sep 16 min