How to build robust forecasting models that account for uncertainty, seasonality, and external shocks in the travel retail sector.
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Lead Data Scientist
Freelance data scientist. I design and ship decision systems — forecasting, pricing, marketing measurement, optimization — for teams making high-stakes calls.
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Sales volume mixes demand and inventory effects. Sell-through rate captures what actually matters: how fast inventory clears under pricing and context constraints.
Pourquoi le forecast de lancement produit est souvent un exercice politique plus qu'une estimation robuste, et comment le transformer en système probabiliste et explicable.
Deep dive into gradient boosting trees with quantile regression for robust uncertainty estimation in travel retail forecasting.
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