What I help with

Solutions

Six practices, one method: frame the decision, build the system, hand it over.

Marketing measurement

Marketing mix modeling, built to allocate budget

Measurement that changes where the money goes. Bayesian MMM, incrementality, response curves and budget allocation, deployed as a system your team runs on a monthly cadence.

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Demand and pricing

Demand planning and pricing, under real uncertainty

Forecasting, markdown and price decisions built as one system. Probabilistic where it matters, constrained by how the business actually operates, and deployed on the cadence planning already runs on.

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Pricing and revenue

Pricing, elasticity and revenue optimization

Price, markdown and promotion decisions as one system: elasticities the data can actually identify, constraints the business actually has, and an optimizer that recommends a price list, not a chart.

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Customer value

Customer lifetime value, churn and product recommendations

Models that decide who to acquire, who to keep and what to show them: predicted value used for activation, churn scored where an action still exists, recommendations that stay auditable even when an LLM is involved.

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Risk and credit

Fraud detection, credit risk and operational risk models

Decisions that must be fast, explainable and right most of the time: automated credit decisions, fraud scoring on retail transactions, and supplier risk mapped as a network rather than a scorecard.

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Agentic and AI systems

AI systems that reach production

RAG, assistants and agentic workflows where the interesting part is not the model. Auditable business logic, a deterministic core, and a deployment that survives contact with real users.

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